Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 22.558028 25.606658 28.936233 32.845963 37.315661 42.271243 48.189321
2025-01-19 17.434498 21.428513 26.166048 32.214239 39.751696 48.863123 60.754595
2025-01-26 14.807952 19.417730 25.267377 33.268231 43.979689 57.899121 77.479829
2025-02-02 13.129603 18.180411 24.965136 34.804551 48.809383 68.176863 97.250938
2025-02-09 11.544109 16.746121 24.083116 35.274129 52.070654 76.592520 115.563338
2025-02-16 9.992694 15.093039 22.598473 34.563106 53.378002 82.193416 130.366230
2025-02-23 8.784131 13.757665 21.361406 33.976360 54.671830 87.781416 145.762925
2025-03-02 7.825217 12.668484 20.336348 33.532845 56.044385 93.544581 162.113117
2025-03-09 7.108312 11.868391 19.654326 33.522386 58.064099 100.535251 181.438420
2025-03-16 6.477139 11.128997 18.972373 33.398380 59.821092 107.217112 201.061470
2025-03-23 6.154286 10.874575 19.073270 34.635679 64.122626 118.923957 231.677334
2025-03-30 5.707077 10.346626 18.627913 34.810303 66.447731 127.210460 256.777747
2025-04-06 5.136558 9.549160 17.638695 33.904114 66.701187 131.771855 275.535040
2025-04-13 4.692378 8.940351 16.934641 33.465776 67.828530 138.231033 299.345346
2025-04-20 4.487950 8.768026 17.041267 34.648581 72.412141 152.389479 342.210470
2025-04-27 4.348297 8.706285 17.354098 36.286655 78.165517 169.814267 395.354964
2025-05-04 4.103074 8.403105 17.144934 36.790741 81.509592 182.404242 439.235454
2025-05-11 3.765496 7.872133 16.407109 36.052565 81.960018 188.481545 468.225496
2025-05-18 3.473815 7.408232 15.761764 35.441087 82.616521 195.113332 499.699476
2025-05-25 3.223058 7.007407 15.210756 34.978150 83.560334 202.552755 534.521076
2025-06-01 3.030463 6.715806 14.870581 34.967492 85.601062 212.976131 579.156491
2025-06-08 2.845976 6.423967 14.499615 34.837958 87.325528 222.831012 623.927519
2025-06-15 2.772880 6.381521 14.698576 36.131552 92.872126 243.452211 703.279446